In a random survey of US adults, a political scientist found that 56% of the survey respondents are confident in the current administration's ability to make good foreign policy decisions. The margin of error for this estimation is 1%. Based on this information, which of the following is the most appropriate conclusion?Choose 1 answer:(A) Exactly 56% of US adults are confident that 99% of the foreign policy decisions made by the current administration will be good.(B) The political scientist is 99% sure that 56% of the foreign policy decisions made by the current administration will be good ones.(C) Most US adults believe that 55% to 57% of the foreign policy decisions made by the current administration will be good ones.(D) It is likely that 55% to 57% of all US adults are confident in the current administration's ability to make good foreign policy decisions.
Q. In a random survey of US adults, a political scientist found that 56% of the survey respondents are confident in the current administration's ability to make good foreign policy decisions. The margin of error for this estimation is 1%. Based on this information, which of the following is the most appropriate conclusion?Choose 1 answer:(A) Exactly 56% of US adults are confident that 99% of the foreign policy decisions made by the current administration will be good.(B) The political scientist is 99% sure that 56% of the foreign policy decisions made by the current administration will be good ones.(C) Most US adults believe that 55% to 57% of the foreign policy decisions made by the current administration will be good ones.(D) It is likely that 55% to 57% of all US adults are confident in the current administration's ability to make good foreign policy decisions.
Survey Confidence Percentage: The survey says 56% of respondents are confident in the administration's ability to make good foreign policy decisions, with a margin of error of 1%.
Margin of Error: The margin of error means the actual percentage could be 1% higher or lower than the reported 56%, so it could be between 55% and 57%.
Option (A) Explanation: Option (A) is incorrect because it misinterprets the percentage as a prediction of the success rate of foreign policy decisions.
Option (B) Explanation: Option (B) is incorrect because it confuses the confidence level of the survey with the success rate of the decisions.
Option (C) Explanation: Option (C) is incorrect because it suggests that most US adults believe a specific percentage of decisions will be good, which is not what the survey measures.
Option (D) Explanation: Option (D) correctly interprets the margin of error and the percentage of US adults confident in the administration's ability to make good foreign policy decisions.
More problems from Interpret confidence intervals for population means