You select a marble without looking and then put it back. If you do this 4 times, what is the best prediction possible for the number of times you will pick a blue marble?Choices:(A) 2(B) 1(C) 10(D) 0
Q. You select a marble without looking and then put it back. If you do this 4 times, what is the best prediction possible for the number of times you will pick a blue marble?Choices:(A) 2(B) 1(C) 10(D) 0
Understand Problem: Understand the problem and identify missing information.We need to know the probability of picking a blue marble each time to predict the total number of times a blue marble will be picked in 4 tries. However, the problem doesn't specify the total number of marbles or the number of blue marbles. Assuming a fair chance for any color, we can use the given choices to infer a reasonable probability.
Assume Equal Probability: Assume each color has an equal chance of being picked. If there are multiple colors and one of them is blue, a reasonable assumption might be that each color is equally likely. For simplicity, let's assume there are four colors of marbles including blue. This gives a probability of picking a blue marble as 41.
Calculate Expected Number: Calculate the expected number of times a blue marble is picked. Using the probability from Step 2, the expected number of times picking a blue marble in 4 tries is: Expected number = Total tries × Probability of picking blue = 4×41=1.