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Which event is most likely to occur? Rolling a number less than 12 on a twelve-sided die, numbered from 1 to 12. Spinning a spinner divided into five equal-sized sections colored red/green/yellow/blue/purple and landing on orange. Winning a raffle that sold a total of 100 tickets, if you buy 35 tickets. Reaching into a bag full of 27 strawberry chews and 13 cherry chews without looking and pulling out a strawberry chew.

Which event is most likely to occur?\newlineRolling a number less than 1212 on a twelve-sided die, numbered from 11 to 1212.\newlineSpinning a spinner divided into five equal-sized sections colored red/green/yellow/blue/purple and landing on orange.\newlineWinning a raffle that sold a total of 100100 tickets, if you buy 3535 tickets.\newlineReaching into a bag full of 2727 strawberry chews and 1313 cherry chews without looking and pulling out a strawberry chew.

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Q. Which event is most likely to occur?\newlineRolling a number less than 1212 on a twelve-sided die, numbered from 11 to 1212.\newlineSpinning a spinner divided into five equal-sized sections colored red/green/yellow/blue/purple and landing on orange.\newlineWinning a raffle that sold a total of 100100 tickets, if you buy 3535 tickets.\newlineReaching into a bag full of 2727 strawberry chews and 1313 cherry chews without looking and pulling out a strawberry chew.
  1. Rolling Probability Analysis: Analyze the probability of rolling a number less than 1212 on a twelve-sided die.\newlineA twelve-sided die has numbers from 11 to 1212. Rolling any number from 11 to 1111 will satisfy the condition of rolling a number less than 1212.\newlineProbability = Number of favorable outcomes / Total number of possible outcomes\newlineProbability = 1112\frac{11}{12}
  2. Spinner Landing Probability: Analyze the probability of spinning a spinner divided into five equal-sized sections and landing on orange.\newlineThe spinner does not have an orange section, so it is impossible to land on orange.\newlineProbability = 0/50 / 5\newlineProbability = 00
  3. Raffle Winning Probability: Analyze the probability of winning a raffle with 100100 tickets sold, if you buy 3535 tickets.\newlineProbability = Number of tickets you have / Total number of tickets\newlineProbability = 35100\frac{35}{100}\newlineProbability = 0.350.35
  4. Chew Selection Probability: Analyze the probability of reaching into a bag and pulling out a strawberry chew. There are 2727 strawberry chews and 1313 cherry chews, making a total of 4040 chews. Probability =Number of strawberry chewsTotal number of chews=2740= \frac{\text{Number of strawberry chews}}{\text{Total number of chews}} = \frac{27}{40}
  5. Comparative Probability Analysis: Compare the probabilities to determine which event is most likely to occur.\newlineRolling a number less than 1212 on a twelve-sided die: 1112\frac{11}{12}\newlineSpinning the spinner and landing on orange: 00\newlineWinning the raffle: 0.350.35\newlinePulling out a strawberry chew: 2740\frac{27}{40}\newlineThe probability of rolling a number less than 1212 on a twelve-sided die (1112\frac{11}{12}) is the highest probability among the given events.

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