This season, the probability that the Yankees will win a game is 0.52 and the probability that the Yankees will score 5 or more runs in a game is 0.56 . The probability that the Yankees win and score 5 or more runs is 0.4 . What is the probability that the Yankees would score fewer than 5 runs when they lose the game? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.Answer:
Q. This season, the probability that the Yankees will win a game is 0.52 and the probability that the Yankees will score 5 or more runs in a game is 0.56 . The probability that the Yankees win and score 5 or more runs is 0.4 . What is the probability that the Yankees would score fewer than 5 runs when they lose the game? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.Answer:
Define Events: Let's denote the events as follows:W: The Yankees win a game.S: The Yankees score 5 or more runs in a game.We are given the following probabilities:P(W)=0.52P(S)=0.56P(W and S)=0.4We need to find the probability that the Yankees score fewer than 5 runs when they lose, which can be denoted as P(S′∣W′), where S′ is the complement of S (scoring fewer than 5 runs) and W′ is the complement of W (losing the game).
Calculate Probabilities: First, we need to find the probability that the Yankees lose a game, which is the complement of the probability that they win. This can be calculated as:P(W′)=1−P(W)P(W′)=1−0.52P(W′)=0.48
Find Probability of Losing and Scoring Fewer Runs: Next, we need to find the probability that the Yankees score fewer than 5 runs, which is the complement of the probability that they score 5 or more runs. This can be calculated as:P(S′)=1−P(S)P(S′)=1−0.56P(S′)=0.44
Calculate Conditional Probability: Now, we need to find the probability that the Yankees lose and score fewer than 5 runs, which is P(W′ and S′). We can use the complement of the probability that they win and score 5 or more runs to find this. This can be calculated as:P(W′ and S′)=P(S′)−P(W and S)P(W′ and S′)=0.44−0.4P(W′ and S′)=0.04
Calculate Conditional Probability: Now, we need to find the probability that the Yankees lose and score fewer than 5 runs, which is P(W′ and S′). We can use the complement of the probability that they win and score 5 or more runs to find this. This can be calculated as:P(W′ and S′)=P(S′)−P(W and S)P(W′ and S′)=0.44−0.4P(W′ and S′)=0.04Finally, we can find the probability that the Yankees score fewer than 5 runs given that they lose the game using the conditional probability formula:P(S′∣W′)=P(W′)P(W′ and S′)P(S′∣W′)=0.480.04P(S′∣W′)≈0.0833 (rounded to the nearest thousandth)
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