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This season, the probability that the Yankees will win a game is 0.62 and the probability that the Yankees will score 5 or more runs in a game is 0.54 . The probability that the Yankees win and score 5 or more runs is 0.45 . What is the probability that the Yankees will lose when they score 5 or more runs? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.
Answer:

This season, the probability that the Yankees will win a game is 00.6262 and the probability that the Yankees will score 55 or more runs in a game is 00.5454 . The probability that the Yankees win and score 55 or more runs is 00.4545 . What is the probability that the Yankees will lose when they score 55 or more runs? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.\newlineAnswer:

Full solution

Q. This season, the probability that the Yankees will win a game is 00.6262 and the probability that the Yankees will score 55 or more runs in a game is 00.5454 . The probability that the Yankees win and score 55 or more runs is 00.4545 . What is the probability that the Yankees will lose when they score 55 or more runs? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.\newlineAnswer:
  1. Events Denotation: Let's denote the events as follows:\newlineW: The Yankees win a game.\newlineR: The Yankees score 55 or more runs in a game.\newlineWe are given the following probabilities:\newlineP(W)=0.62P(W) = 0.62\newlineP(R)=0.54P(R) = 0.54\newlineP(W and R)=0.45P(W \text{ and } R) = 0.45
  2. Find Probability of Not Winning: We need to find the probability that the Yankees will lose when they score 55 or more runs. This can be represented as P(R and not W)P(R \text{ and not } W), which is the probability of scoring 55 or more runs and not winning. To find this, we first need to find the probability of not winning, which is P(not W)P(\text{not } W).P(not W)=1P(W)P(\text{not } W) = 1 - P(W)P(not W)=10.62P(\text{not } W) = 1 - 0.62P(not W)=0.38P(\text{not } W) = 0.38
  3. Check Independence of Events: Now, we can use the Multiplication Rule of Probability for independent events to find P(R and not W)P(R \text{ and not } W). However, we need to check if RR and not WW are independent. Since we are given P(W and R)P(W \text{ and } R), we can check for independence by comparing P(W and R)P(W \text{ and } R) with P(W)×P(R)P(W) \times P(R). If they are equal, the events are independent; if not, they are dependent.\newlineLet's check:\newlineP(W)×P(R)=0.62×0.54P(W) \times P(R) = 0.62 \times 0.54\newlineP(W)×P(R)=0.3348P(W) \times P(R) = 0.3348\newlineSince P(W and R)=0.45P(W \text{ and } R) = 0.45, which is not equal to 0.33480.3348, the events WW and RR are dependent.
  4. Calculate Probability of R and not W: Since WW and RR are dependent, we cannot simply multiply P(R)P(R) and P(not W)P(\text{not } W) to find P(R and not W)P(R \text{ and not } W). Instead, we need to use the given probabilities to find P(R and not W)P(R \text{ and not } W) by subtracting P(W and R)P(W \text{ and } R) from P(R)P(R).
    P(R and not W)=P(R)P(W and R)P(R \text{ and not } W) = P(R) - P(W \text{ and } R)
    P(R and not W)=0.540.45P(R \text{ and not } W) = 0.54 - 0.45
    RR00
  5. Round Final Probability: Now that we have P(R and not W)P(R \text{ and not } W), we can round this probability to the nearest thousandth as requested.P(R and not W)0.090P(R \text{ and not } W) \approx 0.090

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