The rate of changedtdP of the number of people infected by a disease is modeled by a logistic differential equation. The maximum capacity of the village is 943 people. At 8 PM, the number of people infected by the disease is 106 and is increasing at a rate of 30 people per hour. Write a differential equation to describe the situation.dtdP=□
Q. The rate of change dtdP of the number of people infected by a disease is modeled by a logistic differential equation. The maximum capacity of the village is 943 people. At 8 PM, the number of people infected by the disease is 106 and is increasing at a rate of 30 people per hour. Write a differential equation to describe the situation.dtdP=□
Logistic Differential Equation: The logistic differential equation is generally given by the formula:dtdP=rP(1−KP)where:- P is the current population (number of people infected),- r is the growth rate (rate of increase of the infection),- K is the carrying capacity (maximum capacity of the village),- dtdP is the rate of change of the population (number of people infected) over time.
Given Carrying Capacity: We are given the carrying capacity K=943 people.
Given Population and Rate of Change: We are also given that at a certain time (8 PM), the number of people infected P=106 and the rate of change of the number of people infected dtdP=30 people per hour.
Finding Growth Rate: To find the growth rate r, we can use the given rate of change when P=106:30=r⋅106(1−943106)Now we solve for r:r=106(1−943106)30
Calculating Growth Rate: Calculate the value of r:r=106(1−943106)30r=106(943943−106)30r=106(943837)30r=106⋅83730⋅943r≈8896228329r≈0.3185 (rounded to four decimal places)
Writing Logistic Differential Equation: Now we can write the logistic differential equation using the value of r and the carrying capacity K:dtdP=0.3185P(1−943P)
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