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The rate of change 
(dP)/(dt) of the number of people infected by a disease is modeled by a logistic differential equation. The maximum capacity of the village is 943 people. At 8 PM, the number of people infected by the disease is 106 and is increasing at a rate of 30 people per hour. Write a differential equation to describe the situation.

(dP)/(dt)=◻

The rate of change dPdt \frac{d P}{d t} of the number of people infected by a disease is modeled by a logistic differential equation. The maximum capacity of the village is 943943 people. At 88 PM, the number of people infected by the disease is 106106 and is increasing at a rate of 3030 people per hour. Write a differential equation to describe the situation.\newlinedPdt= \frac{d P}{d t}=\square

Full solution

Q. The rate of change dPdt \frac{d P}{d t} of the number of people infected by a disease is modeled by a logistic differential equation. The maximum capacity of the village is 943943 people. At 88 PM, the number of people infected by the disease is 106106 and is increasing at a rate of 3030 people per hour. Write a differential equation to describe the situation.\newlinedPdt= \frac{d P}{d t}=\square
  1. Logistic Differential Equation: The logistic differential equation is generally given by the formula:\newlinedPdt=rP(1PK)\frac{dP}{dt} = rP\left(1 - \frac{P}{K}\right)\newlinewhere:\newline- PP is the current population (number of people infected),\newline- rr is the growth rate (rate of increase of the infection),\newline- KK is the carrying capacity (maximum capacity of the village),\newline- dPdt\frac{dP}{dt} is the rate of change of the population (number of people infected) over time.
  2. Given Carrying Capacity: We are given the carrying capacity K=943K = 943 people.
  3. Given Population and Rate of Change: We are also given that at a certain time (88 PM), the number of people infected P=106P = 106 and the rate of change of the number of people infected dPdt=30\frac{dP}{dt} = 30 people per hour.
  4. Finding Growth Rate: To find the growth rate rr, we can use the given rate of change when P=106P = 106:\newline30=r106(1106943)30 = r \cdot 106 \left(1 - \frac{106}{943}\right)\newlineNow we solve for rr:\newliner=30106(1106943)r = \frac{30}{106 \left(1 - \frac{106}{943}\right)}
  5. Calculating Growth Rate: Calculate the value of rr:\newliner=30106(1106943)r = \frac{30}{106 \left(1 - \frac{106}{943}\right)}\newliner=30106(943106943)r = \frac{30}{106 \left(\frac{943 - 106}{943}\right)}\newliner=30106(837943)r = \frac{30}{106 \left(\frac{837}{943}\right)}\newliner=30943106837r = \frac{30 \cdot 943}{106 \cdot 837}\newliner2832988962r \approx \frac{28329}{88962}\newliner0.3185r \approx 0.3185 (rounded to four decimal places)
  6. Writing Logistic Differential Equation: Now we can write the logistic differential equation using the value of rr and the carrying capacity KK:\newlinedPdt=0.3185P(1P943)\frac{dP}{dt} = 0.3185P\left(1 - \frac{P}{943}\right)

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