The Hiking Club plans to go camping in a State park where the probability of rain on any given day is 0.64 . What is the probability that it will rain on exactly one of the six days they are there? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.Answer:
Q. The Hiking Club plans to go camping in a State park where the probability of rain on any given day is 0.64 . What is the probability that it will rain on exactly one of the six days they are there? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.Answer:
Understand and Determine Formula: Understand the problem and determine the formula to use.We need to find the probability of it raining on exactly one day out of six. This is a binomial probability problem, where n=6 (number of trials), k=1 (number of successes), p=0.64 (probability of success on a single trial), and q=1−p=0.36 (probability of failure on a single trial).The formula for the binomial probability is P(X=k)=(kn)⋅pk⋅q(n−k).
Calculate Binomial Coefficient: Calculate the binomial coefficient (k)(n) for n=6 and k=1.(k)=(k!⋅(n−k)!)n!(n)(1)=(1!⋅(6−1)!)6!(6)(1)=16(6)(1)=6(6)
Calculate Probabilities: Calculate the probability of success raised to the power of k (pk) and the probability of failure raised to the power of n−k (qn−k).pk=0.641=0.64qn−k=0.366−1=0.365
Calculate qn−k: Calculate qn−k using a calculator.0.365=0.010077696
Multiply Results for P(X = 1): Multiply the results of steps 2, 3, and 4 to find the probability P(X=1).P(X=1)=(16)×p1×q5P(X=1)=6×0.64×0.010077696
Perform Final Calculation: Perform the final calculation.P(X=1)=6×0.64×0.010077696P(X=1)=0.03877132864
Round to Nearest Thousandth: Round the answer to the nearest thousandth as requested.P(X=1)≈0.039
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