The Hiking Club plans to go camping in a State park where the probability of rain on any given day is 5/6. What is the probability that it will rain on at least five of the seven days they are there? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.Answer:
Q. The Hiking Club plans to go camping in a State park where the probability of rain on any given day is 5/6. What is the probability that it will rain on at least five of the seven days they are there? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.Answer:
Understand the Problem: Understand the problem and determine the approach.We need to calculate the probability of it raining on at least five out of seven days. Since the probability of rain on any given day is 65, we can use the binomial probability formula to calculate the probability of it raining on exactly k days out of n days, which is P(X=k)=(kn)⋅(pk)⋅((1−p)(n−k)), where p is the probability of rain on a single day, and (kn) is the binomial coefficient.
Calculate Probability of 5 Days: Calculate the probability of it raining on exactly five days. Using the binomial probability formula, we calculate P(X=5) where n=7, k=5, and p=65. P(X=5)=(57)⋅(65)5⋅(61)2P(X=5)=21⋅(77763125)⋅(361)P(X=5)=21⋅(2799363125)P(X=5)=27993665625
Calculate Probability of 6 Days: Calculate the probability of it raining on exactly six days. Using the binomial probability formula, we calculate P(X=6) where n=7, k=6, and p=65. P(X=6)=(67)⋅(65)6⋅(61)1P(X=6)=7⋅(4665615625)⋅(61)P(X=6)=7⋅(27993615625)P(X=6)=279936109375
Calculate Probability of 7 Days: Calculate the probability of it raining on all seven days.Using the binomial probability formula, we calculate P(X=7) where n=7, k=7, and p=65.P(X=7)=(77)⋅(65)7⋅(61)0P(X=7)=1⋅(27993678125)P(X=7)=27993678125
Add Probabilities for At Least 5 Days: Add the probabilities of it raining on exactly five, six, and seven days to find the total probability of it raining on at least five days.P(at least 5 days) = P(X=5)+P(X=6)+P(X=7)P(at least 5 days) = 27993665625+279936109375+27993678125P(at least 5 days) = 279936(65625+109375+78125)P(at least 5 days) = 279936253125
Round the Answer: Round the answer to the nearest thousandth.P(at least 5 days)≈279936253125≈0.904 (rounded to three decimal places)
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