Mr. and Mrs. Doran have a genetic history such that the probability that a child being born to them with a certain trait is 0.48 . If they have four children, what is the probability that at most two of their four children will have that trait? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.Answer:
Q. Mr. and Mrs. Doran have a genetic history such that the probability that a child being born to them with a certain trait is 0.48 . If they have four children, what is the probability that at most two of their four children will have that trait? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.Answer:
Calculate Probability: To solve this problem, we need to calculate the probability of having 0, 1, or 2 children with the trait out of 4 children. We will use the binomial probability formula, which is P(X=k)=(kn)⋅(pk)⋅((1−p)(n−k)), where n is the number of trials, k is the number of successes, p is the probability of success on a single trial, and (kn) is the binomial coefficient.
Probability of 0 Children: First, we calculate the probability of having 0 children with the trait. This means k=0, n=4, and p=0.48.P(X=0)=(04)×(0.480)×((1−0.48)4) = 1×1×(0.524) = 0.524 = 0.0731 (rounded to four decimal places)
Probability of 1 Child: Next, we calculate the probability of having 1 child with the trait. This means k=1.P(X=1)=(14)×(0.481)×((1−0.48)3)=4×0.48×(0.523)=4×0.48×0.1406 (rounded to four decimal places)=0.2701 (rounded to four decimal places)
Probability of 2 Children: Now, we calculate the probability of having 2 children with the trait. This means k=2.P(X=2)=(24)×(0.482)×((1−0.48)2)=6×(0.482)×(0.522)=6×0.2304×0.2704 (rounded to four decimal places)=0.3745 (rounded to four decimal places)
Total Probability: Finally, we add the probabilities of having 0, 1, and 2 children with the trait to find the total probability of having at most 2 children with the trait.Total probability = P(X=0)+P(X=1)+P(X=2) = 0.0731+0.2701+0.3745 = 0.7177 (rounded to four decimal places)
Final Answer: We round the final answer to the nearest thousandth as requested.Final answer = 0.718 (rounded to the nearest thousandth)
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