Mr. and Mrs. Doran have a genetic history such that the probability that a child being born to them with a certain trait is 69%. If they have five children, what is the probability that at most one of their five children will have that trait? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.Answer:
Q. Mr. and Mrs. Doran have a genetic history such that the probability that a child being born to them with a certain trait is 69%. If they have five children, what is the probability that at most one of their five children will have that trait? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.Answer:
Identify Binomial Probability Formula: Identify the binomial probability formula for at most one success: P(X≤k)=∑i=0k(C(n,i)⋅(p)i⋅(1−p)(n−i)). Here, n is the number of trials (children), k is the maximum number of successes (children with the trait), and p is the probability of success (child having the trait).n=5k=1p=0.69
Calculate Probability of No Children: Calculate the probability of having no children with the trait k=0. Using the binomial probability formula: P(X=0)=C(5,0)×(0.69)0×(1−0.69)5. C(5,0)=1 (since any number choose 0 is 1). (0.69)0=1 (since any number to the power of 0 is 1). (1−0.69)5=(0.31)5.
Calculate (0.31)5: Calculate (0.31)5.(0.31)^5 = 0.31 \times 0.31 \times 0.31 \times 0.31 \times 0.31\.= 0.00028610251 (rounded to 11 decimal places for accuracy in further calculations).
Calculate Probability of One Child: Calculate the probability of having exactly one child with the trait k=1. Using the binomial probability formula: P(X=1)=C(5,1)×(0.69)1×(1−0.69)4. C(5,1)=5 (since 1!×(5−1)!5!=5). (0.69)1=0.69. (1−0.69)4=(0.31)4.
Calculate (0.31)4: Calculate (0.31)4.$0.31)4=0.31×0.31×0.31×0.31.=0.00921161 (rounded to 8 decimal places for accuracy in further calculations).
Multiply Values for P(X = 1): Multiply the values to find P(X=1).P(X=1)=5×0.69×0.00921161.=0.031824605 (rounded to 9 decimal places for accuracy in further calculations).
Add Probabilities for Total Probability: Add the probabilities of P(X=0) and P(X=1) to find the total probability of at most one child with the trait.P(X≤1)=P(X=0)+P(X=1).=0.00028610251+0.031824605.=0.032110708 (rounded to 9 decimal places for accuracy in further calculations).
Round Final Probability: Round the final probability to the nearest thousandth. P(X≤1)=0.032.
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