Q. If a fair die is rolled 4 times, what is the probability, rounded to the nearest thousandth, of getting at least 3 fours?Answer:
Calculate Probability of Rolling Four: Determine the probability of rolling a four on a single die roll.A fair die has 6 sides, so the probability of rolling a four on any given roll is 61.
Calculate Probability of Not Rolling Four: Determine the probability of not rolling a four on a single die roll.The probability of not rolling a four is the complement of rolling a four, which is 65.
Calculate Probability of Three Fours: Calculate the probability of rolling exactly three fours in four rolls.This can happen in several different ways: the first three rolls are fours and the last is not, the first, second, and fourth rolls are fours, etc. There are (34)(4C3) ways to arrange three fours in four rolls.4C3=3!⋅(4−3)!4!=4The probability of each of these events is (61)3⋅(65).So, the total probability for exactly three fours is 4⋅(61)3⋅(65).
Calculate Probability of Four Fours: Calculate the probability of rolling four fours in four rolls. The probability of this happening is (61)4.
Add Probabilities for Three and Four Fours: Add the probabilities from Step 3 and Step 4 to find the total probability of getting at least three fours.Probability of at least three fours = Probability of exactly three fours + Probability of exactly four fours= \(4 \times (\frac{1}{6})^3 \times (\frac{5}{6}) + (\frac{1}{6})^4
Perform Calculations: Perform the calculations.Probability of exactly three fours = 4×(61)3×(65)=4×(2161)×(65)=129620Probability of exactly four fours = (61)4=12961Probability of at least three fours = 129620+12961=129621
Simplify Fraction and Round: Simplify the fraction and round to the nearest thousandth. 129621 simplifies to 4327.To convert this to a decimal, divide 7 by 432.7÷432≈0.0162Rounded to the nearest thousandth, the probability is 0.016.
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