At LaGuardia Airport for a certain nightly flight, the probability that it will rain is 0.1 and the probability that the flight will be delayed is 0.18 . The probability that it will rain and the flight will be delayed is 0.02 . What is the probability that the flight would leave on time when it is raining? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.Answer:
Q. At LaGuardia Airport for a certain nightly flight, the probability that it will rain is 0.1 and the probability that the flight will be delayed is 0.18 . The probability that it will rain and the flight will be delayed is 0.02 . What is the probability that the flight would leave on time when it is raining? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.Answer:
Events Denoted: Let's denote the events as follows:R: It will rain.D: The flight will be delayed.T: The flight will leave on time.We are given the following probabilities:P(R)=0.1 (probability that it will rain)P(D)=0.18 (probability that the flight will be delayed)P(R and D)=0.02 (probability that it will rain and the flight will be delayed)We want to find P(T given R), which is the probability that the flight will leave on time given that it is raining. We can use the formula for conditional probability:P(T given R)=P(R)P(T and R)First, we need to find P(T and R). Since P(R and D) is the probability that it will rain and the flight will be delayed, P(T and R) is the probability that it will rain and the flight will not be delayed. We can find this by subtracting P(R and D) from P(R):P(D)=0.180P(D)=0.181P(D)=0.182
Conditional Probability Calculation: Now we can calculate P(T given R) using the values we have: P(T given R)=P(R)P(T and R)P(T given R)=0.10.08P(T given R)=0.8
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