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At LaGuardia Airport for a certain nightly flight, the probability that it will rain is 0.12 and the probability that the flight will be delayed is 0.18 . The probability that it will rain and the flight will be delayed is 0.09 . What is the probability that the flight would be delayed when it is raining? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.
Answer:

At LaGuardia Airport for a certain nightly flight, the probability that it will rain is 00.1212 and the probability that the flight will be delayed is 00.1818 . The probability that it will rain and the flight will be delayed is 00.0909 . What is the probability that the flight would be delayed when it is raining? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.\newlineAnswer:

Full solution

Q. At LaGuardia Airport for a certain nightly flight, the probability that it will rain is 00.1212 and the probability that the flight will be delayed is 00.1818 . The probability that it will rain and the flight will be delayed is 00.0909 . What is the probability that the flight would be delayed when it is raining? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.\newlineAnswer:
  1. Denote Events: Let's denote the events as follows:\newlineR: It will rain.\newlineD: The flight will be delayed.\newlineWe are given the following probabilities:\newlineP(R)=0.12P(R) = 0.12 (probability that it will rain)\newlineP(D)=0.18P(D) = 0.18 (probability that the flight will be delayed)\newlineP(R and D)=0.09P(R \text{ and } D) = 0.09 (probability that it will rain and the flight will be delayed)\newlineWe need to find the probability that the flight would be delayed given that it is raining, which is the conditional probability P(DR)P(D|R).\newlineThe formula for conditional probability is:\newlineP(DR)=P(R and D)P(R)P(D|R) = \frac{P(R \text{ and } D)}{P(R)}
  2. Substitute Given Values: Now we substitute the given values into the formula:\newlineP(DR)=P(R and D)P(R)P(D|R) = \frac{P(R \text{ and } D)}{P(R)}\newlineP(DR)=0.090.12P(D|R) = \frac{0.09}{0.12}
  3. Perform Division: Performing the division to find P(DR)P(D|R):P(DR)=0.090.12P(D|R) = \frac{0.09}{0.12}P(DR)=0.75P(D|R) = 0.75
  4. Round the Answer: We need to round the answer to the nearest thousandth as instructed: P(DR)0.750P(D|R) \approx 0.750

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