An art museum recently discovered that 19% of their paintings had been stolen and replaced with replicas. If a tourist observes 2 different paintings at random, what is the probability that exactly 1 is a fake? Write your answer as a decimal rounded to the nearest thousandth.____
Q. An art museum recently discovered that 19% of their paintings had been stolen and replaced with replicas. If a tourist observes 2 different paintings at random, what is the probability that exactly 1 is a fake? Write your answer as a decimal rounded to the nearest thousandth.____
Calculate First Fake Second Real: First, let's find the probability that the first painting observed is a fake and the second is real. The probability of picking a fake painting is 19%, or 0.19. The probability of picking a real painting is 81%, or 0.81, since 100%−19%=81%. So, the probability of one fake and one real in this order is 0.19×0.81.
Calculate First Real Second Fake: Now, let's calculate that: 0.19×0.81=0.1539.
Find Total Probability: Next, we need to find the probability of the opposite order: the first painting is real and the second is fake.This is also 0.81 (real) ×0.19 (fake).
Round to Nearest Thousandth: Calculating this gives us: 0.81×0.19=0.1539.
Round to Nearest Thousandth: Calculating this gives us: 0.81×0.19=0.1539.To find the total probability of exactly one fake, we add the probabilities of both scenarios together.So, 0.1539 (first fake, second real) + 0.1539 (first real, second fake) = 0.3078.
Round to Nearest Thousandth: Calculating this gives us: 0.81×0.19=0.1539.To find the total probability of exactly one fake, we add the probabilities of both scenarios together.So, 0.1539 (first fake, second real) + 0.1539 (first real, second fake) = 0.3078.Finally, we round 0.3078 to the nearest thousandth, which is 0.308.
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