During a single day at radio station WMZH, the probability that a particular song is played is 1/3. What is the probability that this song will be played on at most 2 days out of 4 days? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.Answer:
Q. During a single day at radio station WMZH, the probability that a particular song is played is 1/3. What is the probability that this song will be played on at most 2 days out of 4 days? Round your answer to the nearest thousandth.Answer:
Calculate Probability: We need to calculate the probability of the song being played on at most 2 days out of 4 days. The probability of the song being played on any given day is 31, and the probability of it not being played is 1−31=32. We will use the binomial probability formula, which is P(X=k)=(kn)⋅(pk)⋅((1−p)(n−k)), where n is the number of trials, k is the number of successes, p is the probability of success on a single trial, and (kn) is the binomial coefficient.
Probability of 0 Days: First, we calculate the probability of the song being played exactly 0 days out of 4. This is the same as the song not being played at all in 4 days.Using the binomial formula: P(X=0)=(04)×(31)0×(32)4.(04)=1, (31)0=1, and (32)4=8116.So, P(X=0)=1×1×8116=8116.
Probability of 1 Day: Next, we calculate the probability of the song being played exactly 1 day out of 4. Using the binomial formula: P(X=1)=(14)×(31)1×(32)3. (14)=4, (31)1=31, and (32)3=278. So, P(X=1)=4×(31)×(278)=8132.
Probability of 2 Days: Now, we calculate the probability of the song being played exactly 2 days out of 4. Using the binomial formula: P(X=2)=(24)⋅(31)2⋅(32)2. (24)=6, (31)2=91, and (32)2=94. So, P(X=2)=6⋅(91)⋅(94)=8124.
Add Probabilities: To find the probability of the song being played on at most 2 days, we need to add the probabilities of it being played exactly 0, 1, and 2 days.P(X≤2)=P(X=0)+P(X=1)+P(X=2).P(X≤2)=8116+8132+8124=8172.
Final Probability: Finally, we simplify the fraction8172 and round it to the nearest thousandth.8172 simplifies to 98.To convert this to a decimal, we divide 8 by 9, which gives us approximately 0.889.Rounded to the nearest thousandth, the probability is 0.889.
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