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A once-popular children's doll is slowly declining in popularity. The quartic function

f(x)=0.002x^(4)+0.025x^(3)-0.364x^(2)-7.243 x+86.993
where 
x is the number of years since 1993, can be used to estimate the number of dolls of this type that were sold (in thousands) during a given year from 1993 to 2003. Estimate how many dolls were sold in 1997.

A once-popular children's doll is slowly declining in popularity. The quartic function\newlinef(x)=0.002x4+0.025x30.364x27.243x+86.993 f(x)=0.002 x^{4}+0.025 x^{3}-0.364 x^{2}-7.243 x+86.993 \newlinewhere x x is the number of years since 19931993, can be used to estimate the number of dolls of this type that were sold (in thousands) during a given year from 19931993 to 20032003. Estimate how many dolls were sold in 19971997.

Full solution

Q. A once-popular children's doll is slowly declining in popularity. The quartic function\newlinef(x)=0.002x4+0.025x30.364x27.243x+86.993 f(x)=0.002 x^{4}+0.025 x^{3}-0.364 x^{2}-7.243 x+86.993 \newlinewhere x x is the number of years since 19931993, can be used to estimate the number of dolls of this type that were sold (in thousands) during a given year from 19931993 to 20032003. Estimate how many dolls were sold in 19971997.
  1. Identify Year 19971997: Identify the value of xx for the year 19971997.\newlineSince xx represents the number of years since 19931993, we need to calculate the difference between 19971997 and 19931993 to find the value of xx.\newlineCalculation: 19971993=41997 - 1993 = 4
  2. Substitute x in Function: Substitute the value of xx into the quartic function to estimate the number of dolls sold.\newlineWe have the function f(x)=0.002x4+0.025x30.364x27.243x+86.993f(x) = 0.002x^4 + 0.025x^3 - 0.364x^2 - 7.243x + 86.993, and we found that x=4x = 4 for the year 19971997.\newlineCalculation: f(4)=0.002(4)4+0.025(4)30.364(4)27.243(4)+86.993f(4) = 0.002(4)^4 + 0.025(4)^3 - 0.364(4)^2 - 7.243(4) + 86.993
  3. Perform Term Calculations: Perform the calculations for each term of the function.\newlineCalculation for the first term: 0.002(4)4=0.002×256=0.5120.002(4)^4 = 0.002 \times 256 = 0.512\newlineCalculation for the second term: 0.025(4)3=0.025×64=1.60.025(4)^3 = 0.025 \times 64 = 1.6\newlineCalculation for the third term: 0.364(4)2=0.364×16=5.824-0.364(4)^2 = -0.364 \times 16 = -5.824\newlineCalculation for the fourth term: 7.243(4)=28.972-7.243(4) = -28.972\newlineCalculation for the fifth term: 86.99386.993 (this term does not depend on xx)
  4. Add Up Terms: Add up all the terms to find the value of f(4)f(4).\newlineCalculation: f(4)=0.512+1.65.82428.972+86.993f(4) = 0.512 + 1.6 - 5.824 - 28.972 + 86.993
  5. Calculate Dolls Sold: Complete the calculation to find the estimated number of dolls sold in 19971997.\newlineCalculation: f(4)=0.512+1.65.82428.972+86.993=54.309f(4) = 0.512 + 1.6 - 5.824 - 28.972 + 86.993 = 54.309
  6. Interpret Result: Interpret the result.\newlineSince the function gives the number of dolls sold in thousands, we need to multiply the result by 1,0001,000 to get the actual number of dolls sold.\newlineCalculation: 54.309×1,000=54,30954.309 \times 1,000 = 54,309

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