A council member in a Canadian town wants to know if registered voters would support a proposal to raise the speed limit on a local road. Her staff polled 150 randomly selected voters and asked them to estimate the safest maximum speed on the road. From the survey results, the staff calculated a 99% confidence interval of for the mean estimate among registered voters.Is the following conclusion valid?If the staff conduct another survey, there is a 99% chance that the mean estimate among registered voters will be in the new survey's 99% confidence interval.Choices:(A)yes(B)no
Q. A council member in a Canadian town wants to know if registered voters would support a proposal to raise the speed limit on a local road. Her staff polled 150 randomly selected voters and asked them to estimate the safest maximum speed on the road. From the survey results, the staff calculated a 99% confidence interval of for the mean estimate among registered voters.Is the following conclusion valid?If the staff conduct another survey, there is a 99% chance that the mean estimate among registered voters will be in the new survey's 99% confidence interval.Choices:(A)yes(B)no
Confidence Interval Definition: The confidence interval gives us the range in which we expect the true mean to fall, given a certain level of confidence.
Specific 99% Interval: The 99% confidence interval from the first survey is based on the data from that specific sample.
Impact of New Survey: If a new survey is conducted, it will have a different sample of voters, which could lead to a different 99% confidence interval.
Correct Interpretation: The conclusion that there is a 99% chance that the mean estimate will be in the new survey's 99% confidence interval is incorrect. The correct interpretation is that we can be 99% confident that the true mean lies within the calculated interval, not that future samples will fall within this interval.
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